Ebola Virus Disease in West Africa — The First 9 Months of the Epidemic and Forward Projections (NEJM)
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Author: WHO Ebola Response Team. Published October 16, 2014, N Engl J Med 2014;371:1481-1495 DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa1411100, VOL. 371 NO. 16 Copyright © 2014. Background: On March 23, 2014, the World Health Organization (WHO) was notified of an outbreak of Ebola virus disease (EVD) in Guinea. On August 8, the WHO declared the epidemic to be a “public health emergency of international concern.” Methods: By September 14, 2014, a total of 4507 probable and confirmed cases, including 2296 deaths from EVD (Zaire species) had been reported from five countries in West Africa — Guinea, Liberia, Nigeria, Senegal, and Sierra Leone. We analyzed a detailed subset of data on 3343 confirmed and 667 probable Ebola cases collected in Guinea, Liberia, Nigeria, and Sierra Leone as of September 14. |